Collo vs McDo

Press · 1 Nov 1995

Investir — fierce competition in the United States

Investir: facing fierce competition in the United States, McDonald's trims its margins and slows its pace of openings.

Type
Press article
Date
1 Nov 1995

Summary

Press sheet

Investir — 4 to 10 November 1995

“McDonald's — Tough competition in the United States” · stock market analysis and advice.

Summary

Recommendation on McDonald's shares (+28% in Paris since January). Good 3rd quarter results (net profit +14%, at $400 million), driven by international operations (+34% operating profit over nine months). In the United States, on the other hand, growth is slowing (+2%): under “tough competition”, the group is trimming its margins and reducing its pace of openings from 1,000 to 700 “satellite” restaurants a year.

Key figures

  • Shares: +28% in Paris since January; price 202 F / $41.1.
  • Q3: net profit +14% ($400 million); system-wide sales +13% ($7.8 billion).
  • Annual openings cut from 1,000 to 700 (“satellite” formats).

Significance for the case file

It shows the downside of the openings strategy: in a mature market, the multiplication of outlets squeezes margins, to the point that the group slows its openings. This admission of saturation echoes, at the scale of a town, what Collorafi would experience in Antibes.

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Full transcription

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McDonald's Investir 4 to 10 November 1995 McDONALD'S Tough competition in the United States With a gain of 28% since the start of the year, McDonald's is among the leading stock market performers among the foreign stocks listed in Paris. After being shunned by Wall Street in 1994 (Investir had taken advantage of this to recommend the share last November at 144 F), the stock is again riding high. Analysts have again raised their estimates of results for 1996. Thus, in the third quarter, the world's leading fast-food group pleasantly surprised the experts, by announcing a 14% increase in its net profit, to 400 mil- lion dollars, for systemwide sales up 13%, to 7.8 billion dollars. In nine months, the "fast food" king has therefore earned a little over 1 billion dollars (1.46 dollars per share) and has opened 1,453 new restaurants, bringing their total number to 17,403, at 30 September. However, while the group continues to record impressive growth in its profits internationally (operating profit grew by 34% over the nine months), an activity that now accounts for more than half of its earnings, business in the United States is running at a slow pace. Operating profit rose by only 2%, because the firm is subject to tough competition and prefers to trim its margins in the short term, in order to regain market share. Furthermore, McDonald's, which had launched "satellite" restaurants (of smaller surface area), has decided to reduce the annual number of openings from 1,000 to 700. → The share may still merit attention. ALT. In Paris: 202 F (206.5-150.5); in New York: 41.15 (42-27.75); ratios (1.97 dollars estimated in 1995 and 2.2 dollars in 1996): 20.8 and 18.6; yield (0.27): 0.6%; market cap: 28.75 billion dollars; code: 12948; (RM).

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